Short-term (5-minute ahead) power forecasting service by Utopus Insights allows renewable power producers to do Self Forecasts in Australia for the National Electricity Market (NEM) with far greater certainty, reducing the amount of Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) to be supplied to the grid, and lowering cost-prohibitive penalties. This opens up the opportunity for more renewable energy to flow into a more stable electric grid.
Using our forecasting service, power producers can submit 5-minute ahead Dispatch Forecasts in addition to ANEMOS Dispatch Forecasts. This enables the output of semi-scheduled generators to be closer to offers in the National Electricity Market Dispatch Engine (NEMDE).
Short-term continuous forecasting for a 5-minute interval, 5 minutes ahead
Short-term power forecasting to help improve operational and commercial outcomes for power producers in Australia's National Electricity Market, while staying on the forefront of renewables transformation
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ARENA Short-Term Power Forecasting Project For NEM
First Self Forecasting provider qualified, passing multiple performance tests against the local forecast provider; met
stringent system availability and reliability requirements
Short-term power forecasting service by Utopus Insights delivered accuracy performance improvement greater than 15%; and even more during high power output
All models deployed outperformed the existing forecast solution and saved 26% of participant causer pay fees
Self-forecasting provides renewable generators to more accurately predict power production and more closely meet dispatch target.
Interview with Utopus Insights, Vestas, and Iberdrola Australia regarding the Short-Term Forecasting pilot at Iberdrola Australia's Lake Bonney 2 and 3 wind farms.
"The results we’ve seen have made a compelling case to Iberdrola Australia that an ongoing subscription is worth the cost. It is very pleasing to see the financial benefits that the Vestas and Utopus Insights self-forecasting solution has been able to achieve for Lake Bonney 2 and 3 Wind Farms."
Comprehensive wind and solar PV power forecasting, helps renewable asset farm owners, operators, and power traders make better informed decisions.
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